Severe weather warning

I was prompted to post this by a friend of mine on the forum (Golandrina) who sent me a Facebook report by AEMET (the Spanish Met Office).

I already knew they'd posted a yellow warning for storms and heavy rain on Saturday, although El Tiempo say it will be Sunday & Monday.

Looking at just the synoptic chart and satellite pictures, it's not possible to say for sure if they're correct, but the following is what the AEMET Facebook post says:

Downpours and strong thunderstorms in the east and southeast of the peninsula

As of Saturday, the progressive penetration, from the Atlantic, of a DANA (Isolated Depression of High Levels) in the Peninsula is expected; which, along with the presence of a warm and humid air flow from the Mediterranean, will cause a marked instability of the atmosphere in much of the peninsular area, with showers and storms, mainly in the east and southeast.

Between Saturday 8 and Monday 10, with the DANA most likely centred on the southwest and the east component wind, the most affected areas will be eastern Andalusia, the Strait area, Melilla, Murcia, Valencian Community and eastern end of Castilla La Mancha. The showers and storms will probably be strong and even very strong or persistent and locally hail.

From Tuesday 11 and for several days the evolution of the DANA presents uncertainty, oscillating its position between the south of Portugal, the centre and the southeast of the peninsula. Therefore, it is difficult to specify the affected areas. In principle, it is likely that on Tuesday the rainfall will be limited to the southern half and centre of the peninsula and that, starting on Wednesday 12, tend to generalize to much of the Peninsula and, perhaps also, to the Balearic Islands.

Looking ahead to the weekend of the 15th and 16th, most of the predicted scenarios show a weakening of the DANA and, therefore, a decrease in rainfall or. at least, the intensity of them.

It seems a bit early in the autumn for a full-blown gota fría, but you never know.

You have been warned!

Update: The yellow alert status has been changed and now applies to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, with parts of Alicante province having the update raised to orange (important risk) for Friday.